Latest Quarterly RAG Report publications

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Market Calls

Key Macro calls/Themes

 
 
  • 2007 - 2008
  • 2009 - 2010
  • 2011 - 2012
  • 2013 - 2014
  • 2015 - 2016
  • Track record 2007-2008
  • Track record 2009-2010
  • Track record 2011-2012
  • Track record 2013-2014
  • Track record 2015-2016

Quarterly Global Asset Allocation No. 24

18th December 2015

Rising Bear Mark Risks

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Commodity Fundamentals Report No. 61

20th November 2015

Oil: Lower Trading Range Expected in 2016

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Tactical Equity Asset Allocation No. 142

4th November 2015

Move UW Risk

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Longview Letter No. 93

17th August 2015

Is a Bear market Brewing?

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Commodity Fundamentals

10th July 2015

Oil Update – Part II: Re-Test of the Lows Likely

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Longview Letter No. 88

19th March 2015

Global capex cycle – at recessionary levels

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Commodity Fundamentals

18th February 2015

China & the Copper Carry Trade

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Tactical Equity Asset Allocation No. 133

4th February 2015

A Challenging 2015

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Longview Letter

22 December 2014

Pass the Debt Parcel – Part II a.k.a. China’s Carry Trade – a Key Risk in 2015

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Longview Alert

15 October 2014

Models Update – Strong BUY Message now Prevalent

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Longview Letter

17 July 2014

The Beginning of the End of the Economic Cycle

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Monthly Market Outlook

3 July 2014

SELL signals: A Full House

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Commodities Monthly

6 June 2014

Copper: Structural Bear Market Ongoing

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Longview Letter

28 April 2014

Pass the Debt Parcel a.k.a. How Western Monetary Policy Increases Global Financial Instability

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Monthly Market Outlook

5 March 2014

Reinstate OW Equities Weightings

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Commodities Monthly

28 February 2014

Iron ore – Game Over?

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Monthly Market Outlook

6 January 2014

Q1 Volatility Expected

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Quarterly Asset Allocation

17 December 2013

Trim US Equities – Add to US Bonds, a.k.a. Challenging 1Q/2H2014

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Mid Month Global Macro

28 November 2013

The UK in 2014 – Rate Hike Expected

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Longview Letter

12 November 2013

US Wage Inflation – Sustained Uptrend?

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Longview Alert

16 October 2013

Move Tactically OW Equities - Heightened Fear Priced In

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Longview Alert

12 September 2013

Equity SELL-off Risk High – Move Defensive

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Longview Alert

25 June 2013

Phase II Underway – Add to Risk (near term)

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Longview Alert

15 May 2013

Reduce OW - Consolidation/Pullback Risk High

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Commodities Monthly

16 April 2013

China, Australia & the Iron Ore Bubble…

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Commodities Monthly

31 January 2013

Has Gold Lost its Shine?

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Longview Letter

29 November 2012

The History of EM growth a.k.a. What happens after 10% trend growth?

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Mid Month Global Macro

21 August 2012

How High is US Recession Risk

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Quarterly Asset Allocation

26 June 2012

Remain Tilted Towards Equities

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Commodities Monthly

18 June 2012

Oil Rally Due

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Monthly Market Outlook

5 June 2012

Start BUYing Risk again

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Monthly Market Outlook

4 April 2012

Remove OW - Complacency is back

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Longview Letter

12 March 2012

Long ‘Kondratieff’ Cycles in Bonds, a.k.a. When might the bond bear market begin?

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Monthly Market Outlook

4 Jan 2012

Q1 Market Rally Expected

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Longview Letter

14 Nov 2011

China - Hard or soft Landing?

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Monthly Market Outlook

14 Oct 2011

Keep building LONG positions

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Longview Alert

23 Sep 2011

Start Moving OW Equities

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Longview Letter

21 Sep 2011

Euro Crisis - The Endgame

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Monthly Market Outlook

3 Aug 2011

Caution Advised

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Commodities Monthly

28 Jun 2011

Silver, Silver, Toil & Trouble

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Quarterly Asset Allocation

27 Jun 2011

Reduce Commodities - Increase Western Equities

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Mid Month Global Macro

3 May 2011

Commodities: ‘Summer Doldrums’

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Commodities Monthly

1 April 2011

Steel - The China Syndrome

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Mid Month Global Macro

2 Feb 2011

UK - Dire Decade, a.k.a. Ongoing decline in UK living standards

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Longview Alert

1 Feb 2011

Caution Advised

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Longview Letter

23 Dec 2010

Is China a Bubble? - Part 2: Housing

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Longview Letter

26 Nov 2010

Is China a Bubble? - Part 1: The Introduction

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Mid Month Global Macro

26 Jul 2010

US Credit Cycle - Turning

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Longview Alert

27 Apr 2010

Another 10% SELL-off?

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Longview Letter

16 Apr 2010

Is the Asian Crisis coming to Europe? a.k.a. Greece - Solvency or Liquidity Crisis

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Longview Letter

18 Mar 2010

Why own Gold - Gold, Inflation & Fiat Currencies

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Quarterly Asset Allocation

17 Feb 2010

Trends for the next 7 years

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Longview Letter

2 Nov 2009

After QE - What Next?

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Longview Letter

28 Oct 2009

Jobless Recovery - Again?

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Longview Letter

24 Jul 2009

Is this a Balance Sheet Recession? A.k.a. Is America turning into Japan?

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Commodities Monthly

30 Jun 2009

The Allure of Gold - 4 reasons to BUY Gold

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Commodities Monthly

2 Apr 2009

Aluminium Rally Expected

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Monthly Market Outlook

1 Apr 2009

Bear Market Over?

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Commodities Monthly

3 Mar 2009

Copper - Short Covering Rally Expected

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Monthly Market Outlook

2 Mar 2009

Major Local Low Expected soon

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Longview Letter

1 Oct 2008

Financial Crisis - in the Endgame

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Longview Letter

2 Sep 2008

Major UK Recession Likely- Further 20-25% fall in house prices expected

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Longview Letter

2 Jun 2008

Commodity Super cycle - Myth or Reality?

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Longview Letter

1 Feb 2008

Euro zone Recession Likely- SELL Euro vs. US$

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Monthly Market Outlook

2 Jan 2008

Bear Market Underway

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Monthly Market Outlook

3 Dec 2007

Timing the Underweight

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Monthly Market Outlook

1 Nov 2007

Base building or a Bear Market

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Longview Letter

1 Aug 2007

1920s, The Parallels To Today

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Monthly Market Outlook

2 Jul 2007

Orderly Retreat from Risk

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Monthly Market Outlook

1 June 2007

Significant Chance of SELL-off in June

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Longview Letter

16 Feb 2007

Wave of Risk Aversion Imminent & Highly Likely

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